Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 265.941041 301.017485 340.272246 387.702406 443.781320 508.372347 588.973338
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 222.107233 269.915021 328.543196 406.771457 510.019172 643.953552 834.780031
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 191.372154 243.182289 310.543004 406.515676 543.099785 735.959281 1039.373341
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 165.966078 217.932120 288.496467 394.180277 553.707361 794.871989 1207.008153
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 147.180819 198.514977 270.764337 383.606145 562.762892 850.351935 1380.140857
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 138.186696 191.383900 268.976087 395.422706 606.935873 968.718727 1692.090114
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 128.431423 181.838906 262.107473 397.742953 635.152711 1064.807618 1990.910765
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 118.088284 170.244088 250.593929 390.544149 645.129029 1128.967405 2244.083426
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 110.935246 162.804668 244.695640 391.732217 669.907292 1226.100468 2602.793368
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 102.812560 153.068926 234.007706 383.006538 674.246245 1282.138578 2883.097992
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 96.794020 146.194551 227.361431 380.611972 690.378849 1366.640213 3270.023718
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 88.849581 135.538382 213.324169 362.823786 672.283985 1370.069527 3432.474208
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 86.707658 134.528067 216.113879 377.794207 726.655833 1559.734046 4251.612882
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 85.195635 134.463729 220.575505 396.695640 793.594343 1801.410978 5396.627930
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 81.153105 129.657888 215.918827 396.429245 816.440961 1933.271638 6235.641437
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.977100 122.476067 206.228083 384.477776 809.251655 1978.922914 6762.578549
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 71.471519 116.204166 197.767663 374.229634 804.680736 2031.762999 7364.050210
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 69.897171 115.137223 199.185895 385.681720 857.485642 2278.406098 9096.833422
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 67.393629 112.177285 196.638943 387.930070 886.542061 2458.759543 10679.770523
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 64.103445 107.537619 190.385509 380.953983 889.157953 2549.764485 11850.026585
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 61.885286 104.786246 187.729120 382.105367 915.030360 2734.555451 13852.094565
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 58.887879 100.369965 181.342746 373.648447 911.546695 2808.012183 15181.489643
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 56.671427 97.340586 177.626376 371.327363 926.191062 2959.833835 17354.129159